FutebolAI Track Record Review: 12 Settled Predictions Checked Against Final Scores

This review looks at 12 FutebolAI predictions that have already been settled, meaning the fixture has finished and a verified final score is stored alongside the original model projection. For each match the table below places the projected scoreline next to the score that was actually recorded, so that the two can be compared directly.

Projected vs final scoreline

How the settled set performed

• Exact scoreline matched in 1 of 12 settled fixtures (8.3%).
• Match outcome (home win / draw / away win) matched in 8 of 12 settled fixtures (66.7%).
• Exact scoreline missed in 11 of 12 fixtures, which is the ordinary case for football scoreline projection.

Reading these numbers honestly

An exact-scoreline hit is a demanding test: football matches routinely finish with scorelines that no pre-match model would place as its single most likely outcome. Outcome-level accuracy is the more stable measure, because it only asks whether the stronger side won. With a settled set of just 12 fixtures, both percentages move noticeably when a single result is added, so these figures describe the sample above and should not be treated as a fixed rate for future fixtures.

Why two accuracy figures appear

This review reports two separate measurements because they answer different questions. The exact-scoreline figure asks whether the model named the precise final score, while the outcome figure asks only whether it identified the stronger side, meaning a home win, a draw or an away win. Football results cluster around a small number of common scorelines, so an exact-hit test is deliberately difficult, and a model can be genuinely informative about outcomes while seldom matching a scoreline goal for goal.

Neither figure is a forecast. They describe what happened in the settled fixtures listed above, and the sample changes every time a further match is settled.

Method and data basis

The figures in this article are read directly from the FutebolAI prediction store, the same internal record that backs the public prediction tracker. Each stored row carries a match identifier, a competition name, a kick-off timestamp in UTC, a model-projected scoreline and, once a fixture has finished and been settled, the verified final score. Nothing in this article is inferred or estimated: every count, percentage and scoreline can be traced back to a specific row of that store.

How this article is produced

FutebolAI's recurring digests are assembled automatically from our own prediction store, fai_predictions, and contain no hand-entered results. Every record in that store is written by our ingestion pipeline when a fixture is added to the model, and the scoreline attached to it is the single projection the model keeps for that match rather than a range of outcomes or a post-hoc selection. This article was generated from a fixed template, checked against our editorial policy, and published under the standing review process described on our methodology page.

Because the underlying counts move as fixtures are added and results are settled, the figures below describe one moment in time. We do not rewrite a published digest when the totals change; a later edition supersedes it and the earlier edition stays online, so the record of what we published and when it appeared remains checkable. If a figure is later shown to be wrong it is corrected in a dated note rather than edited silently.

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Sources & Data Basis

• Internal prediction store fai_predictions, filtered to rows where both actual_home and actual_away are populated, ordered by kick-off descending, limited to 12 rows.
• Match identifiers: 564726, 565836, 559649, 559656, 560619, 558562, 559650, 558563, 558565, 559652, 564722, 558564.
• Snapshot retrieved 2026-10-26 04:06 UTC.

This article is informational analysis, not betting advice. All content on FutebolAI is provided for entertainment and informational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes betting, gambling or wagering advice, nor financial or investment guidance, and no match outcome, score or result is guaranteed. Football is inherently unpredictable and model projections may frequently be incorrect. Any decision you take on the basis of this information is entirely your own.